Liberty, Policy, Psychology, Tyranny, War and peace

The balloon hysteria is about war preparations

A MAJOR war escalation may be imminent.

For the past ten days, the American media has been almost saturated with nonstop news coverage about the mysterious balloons and unidentified flying objects crossing into U.S. airspace. The intensity of coverage escalated during the last five days with leading politicians, commentators, military analysts and media figures pitching in to stoke the alarm.

A distraction or something more than that?

It all reeks of a psyop intended either as a distraction, another case of mass-formation psychosis in the making, or both. If it’s a distraction, the powers-that-be would clearly like to divert our attention away from a whole range of embarrassing developments:

  • The empire’s imminent defeat in Ukraine,
  • Revelation that the Biden Administration orchestrated the Nord Stream pipelines terror attack,
  • The environmental disasters unfolding in Ohio and Texas (in both cases cargo train derailments),
  • Yet another pandemic emergency that’s in the works or,
  • Something entirely different that we are yet to find out about.

More likely however, the hysteria is being created to psychologically prepare the nation for war, this time a full on military engagement against China.

It’s mass formation psychosis again

Over the last three years we learned about the way “mass formation psychosis” events are orchestrated. Mass formation psychosis has been wielded against the public for over 200 years in order to manipulate the population into supporting some covert agenda, including generating public consent for war. As Dr. Mattias Desmet explained, four conditions are necessary for mass-formation psychosis to emerge in a society:

1.       A large segment of the population must feel alone and isolated

2.       Their lives must feel meaningless

3.       There must be high levels of free floating anxiety

4.       There must be high levels of frustration and aggression among the people

Under these conditions, the media can direct the public attention to an object with which people could associate their frustration and anxiety. In that state they will more easily fall into line with whatever call to action is being suggested. This is a bit like the bullfighter waving a red cloth in front of a frightened bull. As the alarmed public’s attention becomes captured by the offending object, critical scrutiny is silenced and the promoted narrative is swallowed hook, line and sinker.

Chasing shiny objects in the skies

Contriving tall tales about mystery objects lurking in the skies, otherwise known as “UFO research” in polite society, has been part of the deep state’s psyops arsenal for decades. As Matthew Ehret exposed in his brilliant Substack article this week, British government had a project called “Flying Saucer Working Party” already in 1950. In 1952, American government created their own version with the “Project Blue Book.” The purpose of these projects was to develop tools of psychological manipulation of the public to cooperate with agendas that could not be sold on their true merits.

More recently, it was none other than Laurence Rockefeller who originated and enthusiastically funded the Disclosure Initiative as early as 1993. Laurence Rockefeller was Bill and Hillary Clinton’s key political patron and unsurprisingly, the Clintonite faction of the Democratic party has been very keen on disclosing the UFO “secrets.” If they’ve been a bit shy with it, this is only because such weapons can only be used once in a generation. Choosing how to make the best use of them must be a hard call. Still, orchestrating a world war could be a worthy end to justify such precious means.

Mass psychosis and war mobilization

Inducing fear of mysterious objects in the skies had already shown promise in 1940s, helping manufacture consent to enter World War II among the reluctant Americans. As the YouTube channel “Redacted” recently reported, in the immediate aftermath of Pearl Harbor attacks, the media began publishing many reports about mysterious aircraft approaching U.S. shores. This helped prepare the terrain for President Roosevelt to declare war on Japan.

Only a few weeks later, in February 1942, the government released a large number of weather balloons over Los Angeles. The appearance of these balloons caused great alarm among the people. Air raid sirens, scenes of searchlights illuminating the night skies over Southern California and the blare of anti-aircraft fire shooting at the mystery flying objects caused great alarm among the people.

The psychosis was amplified by breathless media reports speculating about the unidentified flying objects and the threats they might pose. At that time, people’s anxiety was directed at Japan and Germany, and slowly but surely, the unwilling nation was put on the war footing.

China, China, China!!!

The story should sound familiar by now. In today’s remake, project fear has China in its crosshairs. If successful, it could generate a cohesive social response needed to mobilize the nation for war. The above mentioned “Redacted” report included a statement from the former FBI Agent John De SouzaMore than a year ago, he warned that the deep state had plans to orchestrate a fake UFO scare in order to prepare the ground for war. In the same program, Patrick Murphy, former Secretary of the U.S. Army, stated that the U.S. needs to prepare for a war with China in a “whole of nation approach.”

Murphy’s wording exactly echoes the 2018 report by the bipartisan National Defense Strategy Commission titled “Providing for the Common Defense,” which declared that a war between the United States and Russia or China, or both, could break out within four years. The war would be “horrendous,” and “devastating,” and the Commission recommended a “whole-of-government and even whole-of-nation effort,” to confront that challenge. What’s remarkable is that the entire 116-page document never contemplates the possibility of resolving the differences with China through talks and diplomacy. That option never seems to be on the table.

Making truth by repetition

Unfortunately, even among the Americans who should know better, many are taking the bait and falling over themselves to talk tough against China. They tend to parrot a handful of inflammatory talking points, which are becoming true by repetition, regardless of whether they’re actually true or not. As with each of the 248+ military conflicts around the world that the US military initiated since 1946, the designated target is being duly demonized: the public is propagandized with fear and loathing, the free-floating anxiety is directed at China and belligerence is being broadcast from every outlet.

Even the National Football League took advantage of the super bowl to glorify military service in paying tribute to Pat Tillman who gave up his football career and a multi-million dollar contract to join U.S. Marines and fight the terrorists in Afghanistan. NFL’s tribute forgot to mention that Tillman had very strong anti-war views, that he was sent to Iraq and not Afghanistan, that he was killed there by his own comrades and that the military lied about his death even to his own family and that they covered up the incident.

The bullfighter’s red cloth was probably American-made

Meanwhile the balloons themselves – with the exception of the first apparition – might not even have been Chinese. There’s a good chance that they were American-made, part of the U.S. Army’s new “Thunder Cloud” program that’s seeking “to operationalize the Stratosphere” with high-altitude balloons as described in this short official video presentation. The use of such balloons has already been tested in precision artillery strikes exercise in Norway in 2021.

Seriously, why go to war against China?

If we are to go to war against China, the obvious question should be, why? Are we sure that the our differences with the Chinese can’t be resolved in any other way? I pondered these questions last August as Nancy Pelosi was on her way to visit Taiwan, a gesture calculated to provoke tensions and antagonize the Chinese. From my August 1, 2022 TrendCompass report:

Do American Congressmen, think tanks and sundry Admirals and Generals think they can defeat China? Obviously, they can’t possibly think that, they just spent 20 years trying to defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan and failed. Even the Pentagon’s own war simulations came to the conclusion that their Pacific fleet would be destroyed in short order in a war against China. So the risks are clear. What benefits could possibly justify taking such risks?

The primary target of the war against China would not really be China. It would be the American people. The shiny new world war in the Pacific would deflect people’s attention from the metastasizing crises at home, deflect people’s anger at a foreign enemy and for the same high cost also provide the ideal smokescreen for a radical crackdown on dissent against the racists, nazis, enemy sympathizers, deplorables, domestic extremists, insurrectionists and all other kinds of thought criminals.

As James Madison warned us, “If tyranny and oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy.”

Steady boys, steady.

For sure, the breathless chase after UFOs reeks of psyops. General Michael Flynn appropriately tweeted out a warning on Sunday, 12 February:

Indeed, if the American people acquiesce to this latest war drive, the public emergency that will result will enable the deep state actors to strip them from the last vestiges of freedom. First Amendment, Second Amendment, Fourth Amendment and all other rights will be voided. All dissent will be crushed, and political opposition will be dispatched with an iron fist. Those who disagree with the government will be regarded as unpatriotic traitors to the nation.

Your pension isn’t being paid out on time? Suck it up Jack, we’re at war! You can’t get an appointment with your doctor? Blame the Chinese. You don’t support the war? You must be a China sympathizer and belong in a FEMA detention camp… For anyone thinking, “that can’t happen here,” remember the pandemic and how under mass formation psychosis people were ready to report and fight those who failed to comply with mask mandates. Sean Penn is still advocating for removal of the unvaxxed from society. A war with China would embolden many more Sean Penns to call out and persecute all China sympathizers.

War would be a gift to the ruling parasites

A war on China would be the greatest gift imaginable to the forces of tyranny and oppression seeking to solidify an iron grip on power and to do away with the remaining strictures of democracy. What if the enemy is not in Beijing nor in Moscow? What if the real enemy is in the City of London and on Wall Street, along with the media they own and control? Wouldn’t it be a tragic mistake to give them the war they so desperately desire? What if our differences with China could be resolved without a war? Steady boys, steady.

Latest tweet from Pepe Escobar

Just as I was abou tto publish this article, I came across Pepe Escobar’s tweet posted moments ago with an ominous warning:

Recall, that “Providing for the Common Defense” report was predicting a war with Russia and China. There’s no place for peace on their table o foptions. I suppose we’ll soon find out. If you have the means, do what you can to protect and cultivate peace, even if it’s only a prayer. Guard against irrational fears and reject demonization of the other that’s being broadcast in the media just everywhere. As they drum the drums of war, let us drum the drums of peace louder. Encouragingly, it does seem that the warmongers are fumbling their drive to war and that they’re encountering opposition in many quarters.

Alex Krainer – @NakedHedgie is the creator of I-System Trend Following and publisher of daily TrendCompass reports. For US investors, we propose an inflation/recession resilient portfolio covering a basket of 30+ financial and commodities markets; in 2022, we significantly outperformed the S&P 500 as well as the 60/40 death trap investment model. For more information, you can drop me a comment or an email to


5 thoughts on “The balloon hysteria is about war preparations

  1. Joerg Beringer says:

    Totally agree. But I also think that these people are so sick and simple-minded, that their No1 reason to want to go to war with China is to prevent it from becoming No1 in $GDP.
    Many Americans just tick this way, and they are willing to risk the extinction of mankind by fighting against this mathematical inevitability.
    One which would objectively be totally harmless and actually be economically beneficial for everyone.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Robin Brooks says:

    If they can keep people in fear at the very least in a negative or uncertain frame of mind, then the earth will stay in a low vibration condition which enables evil. A wide variety of fear is needed to reach all people. There is a marvelous old Star Trek episodes wherein a seemingly angelic man played by Melvin Beli charms the children and then takes them captive and enslaved. When Kirk encourages them to laugh at him, it reveals his ugliness and dissolves and disappears.


    • Hi Robin, that’s an excellent point; I’ve noticed that the powers that be are particularly worried about people laughing at them and ridiculing them. It may be that humor destroys fear; you don’t generally laugh at things you fear and don’t fear things you’re inclined to laugh at.


  3. John F says:

    Alex, Excellent piece today! Today is 3Mar23 and the balloon comments are a timely reminder. I Saved the “Providing for the common defense” report and note that the 2017 recommendations indicated a need to plan for “two wars” at the same time– as we are seeing now the US cannot do one… not supposed to be that way. Same with the need for high quality recruits… with the wokeness spread through all services and civilian institutions, meeting recruiting goals and retaining quality soldiers, it will not likely happen.

    With no disrespect to the US Marines… I must note that Pat Tillman volunteered with the US Army in one of the elite units– US Army Rangers. His death by friendly fire was a heartbreaker.

    On another subject: Grand Deception. I have acquired a PDF copy of Grand Deception (and printed and bound it), The Magnitsky DVD (a real thriller), as well as B’s Red Notice and his follow-on book Freezing Order. Haven’t read Freezing, on the surface it appears to be a rewrite Red Notice. Any insight?


    • Hi John, thank you very much for your kind words – I truly appreciate it. On the subject of “Freezing Order,” I haven’t read it either and don’t plan to either. I think I had my fill of Bill Browder for one lifetime – I’ve come to a point where even seeing a photo of him fills me with revulsion. I think I prefer to channel my energy toward positive things and solutions that could improve our future, so I’m trying to focus on that instead.


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